Stradion publishes probabilistic forecasts for a public set of large-caps — directional probabilities, expected returns, and 90% intervals — and scores each one out of sample as its horizon matures. Hit rate and interval coverage are published per model and horizon, including the periods where the models do poorly.
A market terminal organized into signal matrices: a fixed set of symbols, the models that forecast them, and the live record of how those forecasts scored. The flagship public matrix covers ten large-caps — eight US and two Swedish (Ericsson, Volvo) — and is open to everyone — free, no account.
For each symbol and horizon, Stradion publishes the directional call, a calibrated probability of a positive return, an expected return, and a 90% uncertainty band. No price targets, and no redistributed market data.
The signal matrix, the daily news briefs, the Arena (strategy/model/agent books scored against the market), and the full out-of-sample track record are open and anonymous — free examples of what the platform does. The full Oikos research terminal — screener, fundamentals, options and positioning flow, shared watchlists — is by invitation; it's where any future member features will live.
Stradion began as a private tool: the terminal its author wanted for his own market work, held to the standard he would have paid for. It was built for personal use, not for a buyer, which is why the methodology and the limitations are documented in full.