Stradion publishes probabilistic forecasts for a public set of large-caps — direction, calibrated odds, and 90% ranges — then scores every one out of sample as its horizon matures. The record, misses included, is on the page. Built to be audited, not believed.
A market terminal organized into signal matrices: a fixed set of symbols, the models that forecast them, and the live record of how those forecasts scored. The public matrix covers eight large-caps and is open to everyone — free, no account.
For each symbol and horizon we publish the directional call, a calibrated probability of a positive return, an expected return, and a 90% uncertainty band. No price targets; no redistributed market data.
The public matrix and daily news brief stay free while the record builds. Planned: signal-change alerts and watchlist routing; additional matrices, each scored on its own; the full Oikos research terminal — screener, fundamentals, options and positioning flow; and a calibrated-output API — with full history export for members. Pricing comes later; the record has to earn it.
Stradion began as a private tool — the terminal its author wanted for his own market work, held to the standard he would have paid for. There was never an incentive to dress up the numbers for a buyer, so the honest version is simply the one that exists.