StradionSignal matrix
FreeFor every symbol and horizon: the probability of a positive return, the expected return, and a 90% range — with the model and data-date on each row. Percentages only; no redistributed prices.
Open Signals →
A terminal that keeps its own scorecard
Forecasts you can actually check.
Stradion publishes the odds of an up move, the expected return, and a 90% range for a public set of large-caps — then grades every call once the window closes, against only the data available at the time. The scorecard is live, misses included. Free, and no account needed.
— forecasts scored out of sample · updated daily
Directional hit rate
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90% interval coverage
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Forecasts scored
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Latest call we missed
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Scored walk-forward, against only the data available at the time —
including the windows with no edge.
See the full record →
Everything Stradion gives you
free unless notedOne place for the odds, the news, and the receipts. Start anywhere — nothing here asks for a login.
Daily news brief
FreeA plain-language read on each watch list every morning, with a stance and price-behaviour note per symbol. Subscribe by RSS — no account.
Read the brief →Track record
FreeEvery matured call, scored. Hit rate and coverage per model and horizon — and “where we were wrong”, ranked. Export the full record as CSV.
See the record →Oikos terminal
By invitationThe full research desk behind the public surfaces: screener, model scorecards, insider/options/sentiment signals, and shared watchlists.
Request access →Custom & paid lists
ComingYour own symbols, a stronger model, Stradion's own forecast woven into the brief. A capability link, not a login. Tell us what you'd want.
Register interest →Exportable history
ComingEvery published forecast, the feature snapshot behind it, and how it scored — kept and exportable in full for paying members.
Register interest →See it before you click
the public surfacesThe doorway is warm; the rooms are dense. Here's what you'll actually open.
Signals
The signal matrix, with each model's out-of-sample accuracy on every row.
News
Daily briefs per watch list, summarized from public headlines. Subscribe by RSS.
Oikos
The research terminal: screener, model scorecards, and signal dashboard.
How we stay honest
out of sample, published in fullEvery forecast is scored out of sample.
Graded after its horizon elapses, against only the data available at the time.
Each forecast is graded after its window closes, on the data the model could have used at the time — a walk-forward, out-of-sample replay that includes the stretches where the models do poorly. Our own analysis finds short-horizon directional confidence doesn't yet rank outcomes well enough to trade on; it begins to separate around the 20-day horizon, and that result is stated on the record. A model that is right 57% of the time is wrong the other 43%, and the published numbers reflect it.
Out of sample
The record is a replay, not a fit: every call is graded only after its window closes, on the data the model already had.
Published in full
Hit rate and 90% coverage are shown for every model and horizon, including the windows where no edge has appeared.
Yours to keep
Every published forecast is retained. Paying members can export the complete history: the calls, the feature snapshot behind each, and how it scored.
Why this exists
a noteStradion began as a private tool. I built the terminal I wanted for my own market work and held it to a standard I'd have paid for: forecasts I could audit, uncertainty kept in the outputs, and a record I couldn't quietly edit. What's public here is that same tool — the methodology and the limitations included, because that's how I use it.
What's next
public now · broader laterThe roadmap
The public matrix and brief stay free while the record builds.
- Signal-change alerts and watchlist routing
- Additional matrices, each with its own symbols, models, and scored record
- Wider access to the Oikos research terminal
- Programmatic access to the model outputs
For paying members
Planned — pricing isn't set yet.
Export the full history, run a paid list, or bring your own symbols. If that's useful to you, say so — it shapes what gets built first.